Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 5.385075 5.884327 6.430041 7.074635 7.820199 8.661580 9.691724
2025-02-23 4.632640 5.318236 6.126808 7.166498 8.491891 10.160065 12.478799
2025-03-02 4.054670 4.796066 5.712583 6.957648 8.653460 10.962498 14.502893
2025-03-09 3.672339 4.442228 5.428632 6.827618 8.838365 11.765280 16.666876
2025-03-16 3.405982 4.197521 5.242669 6.781119 9.100697 12.692153 19.246545
2025-03-23 3.259659 4.090740 5.221121 6.948535 9.685512 14.214546 23.329607
2025-03-30 3.027018 3.843510 4.975695 6.749413 9.656225 14.696536 25.602302
2025-04-06 2.825745 3.623434 4.747766 6.547179 9.584452 15.076735 27.793631
2025-04-13 2.651730 3.429309 4.540961 6.353769 9.495441 15.398883 29.977999
2025-04-20 2.529686 3.301398 4.421660 6.286267 9.613581 16.144393 33.551416
2025-04-27 2.475455 3.267892 4.440762 6.444990 10.161309 17.898295 40.892691
2025-05-04 2.427577 3.239846 4.464618 6.611846 10.748293 19.898983 50.563738
2025-05-11 2.335277 3.146395 4.389506 6.619090 11.065729 21.480064 60.871312
2025-05-18 2.262189 3.079313 4.353976 6.698263 11.559815 23.729629 77.377558
2025-05-25 2.144608 2.936006 4.182854 6.508913 11.442793 24.293715 86.796501
2025-06-01 2.050546 2.824400 4.056628 6.391073 11.466625 25.288303 100.891225
2025-06-08 1.977783 2.742484 3.974496 6.348915 11.657755 26.883082 123.416786
2025-06-15 1.943343 2.719695 3.990949 6.500630 12.340733 30.427212 177.039537
2025-06-22 1.857933 2.609853 3.849225 6.320163 12.166531 30.879762 201.467013
2025-06-29 1.777900 2.505451 3.711489 6.136622 11.958890 31.152081 226.857415
2025-07-06 1.704285 2.408678 3.582353 5.960844 11.748021 31.356777 254.877881
2025-07-13 1.652484 2.345916 3.510551 5.899438 11.835233 32.852512 324.050715
2025-07-20 1.633653 2.337045 3.534735 6.043779 12.514577 37.356705 565.457325